Cooperative Research Units
Education, Research And Technical Assistance For Managing Our Natural Resources
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Dr. Dave McGuire

Research Publications

  • Romanovsky, V., K. Isaksen, D. Drozdov, O. Anisimov, A. Instanes, M. Leibman, A.D. McGuire, N. Shiklomanov, S. Smith, D. Walker, and contributing authors. 2017. Changing permafrost and its impacts. Chapter 3 in Snow, Water, Ice, and Permafrost in the Arctic (SWIPA) 2017. Pages 65-102. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Oslo, Norway.
  • Calef, M.P., A. Varvak, and A.D. McGuire. 2017. Differences in human versus lightning fires between urban and rural areas of the boreal forest in Interior Alaska. Forests 8, paper 422, 15 pages, doi:10.3390/f8110422.
  • Pastick, N.J., P. Duffy, H. Genet, T.S. Rupp, B.K. Wylie, K.D. Johnson, M.T. Jorgenson, N. Bliss, A.D. McGuire, E.E. Jafarov, and J.F. Knight. 2017. Historical and projected trends in landscape drivers affecting carbon dynamics in Alaska. Ecological Applications 27:1383-1402, doi:10.1002/eap.1538.
  • McGuire, A.D., B.P. Kelly, and L. Sheffield Guy. 2017. Resolving a methane mystery in the Arctic. Eos 98, https://doi.org/10.1029/2017EO076733.
  • Olefeldt, D., E.S. Euskirchen, J. Harden, E. Kane, A.D. McGuire, M.P. Waldrop, and M.R. Turetsky. 2017. A decade of boreal rich fen greenhouse gas fluxes in response to natural and experimental water table variability. Global Change Biology 23:2428-2440, doi:10.1111/gcb.13612.
  • Chen, G., D.J. Hayes, and A.D. McGuire. 2017. Contributions of wildland fire to terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics in North America from 1990 – 2012. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 31:878-900, doi:10.1002/2016GB005548.
  • McGuire, A.D., B.P. Kelly, L. Sheffield Guy, H.V. Wiggins, L. Bruhwiler, J. Frederick, H. Huntington, R. Jackson, R. Macdonald, C. Miller, D. Olefeldt, E.A.G. Schuur, and M.R. Turetsky. 2017. Final Report: International Workshop to Reconcile Methane Budgets in the Northern Permafrost Region. Arctic Research Consortium of the United States (ARCUS), Fairbanks, Alaska. 14 pages. Available through the International Arctic Research Center (IARC) Data Archive at http://climate.iarc.uaf.edu/geonetwork/srv/en/main.home?uuid=e436b77a-b0db-44c1-bd18-260c5b076b43.
  • Xia, J., A.D. McGuire, D. Lawrence, E. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, C. Delire, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T.J. Bohn, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D.J. Hayes, K. Huang. D. Ji, G. Krinner, D.P. Lettenmaier, P.A. Miller, J.C. Moore, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi, Z. Shi, L. Yan, J. Liang, L. Jiang, Q. Zhang, and Y. Luo. 2017. Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and it vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 122:430-446, doi:10.1002/2016/JG003384.
  • McGuire, A.D., T.S. Rupp, A. Breen, E.S. Euskirchen, S. Marchenko, V. Romanovsky, A. Bennett, W.R. Bolton, T. Carman, H. Genet, T. Kurkowski, M. Lara, D. Nicolsky, R. Rutter, & K. Timm. (2016). Final Report: Integrated Ecosystem Model (IEM) for Alaska and Northwest Canada Project. Fairbanks, AK; Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning. 71 pages. doi: http://doi.org/10.21429/C9RP43.
  • Barrett, K., T. Loboda, A.D. McGuire, H. Genet, E. Hoy, and E. Kasischke. 2016. Static and dynamic controls on fire activity at moderate spatial and temporal scales in the Alaskan boreal forest. Ecosphere 7, Article e01572, 21 pages, doi:10.1002/ec2.1572.
  • Olefeldt, D., S. Goswami, G. Grosse, D. Hayes, G. Hugelius, P. Kuhry, A.D. McGuire, V.E. Romanovsky, A.B.K. Sannel, E.A.G. Schuur, and M.R. Turetsky. 2016. Circumpolar distribution and carbon storage of thermokarst landscapes. Nature Communications 7:13043, 11 pages, doi:10.1038/ncomms13043.
  • Euskirchen, E.S., A.P. Bennett, A.L Breen, H. Genet, M.A. Lindgren, T.A. Kurkowski, A.D. McGuire, and T.S. Rupp. 2016. Consequences of changes in vegetation and snow cover for climate feedbacks in Alaska and northwest Canada. Environmental Research Letters 11, paper 105003, 19 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/105003.
  • Liang, J., T.W. Crowther, N. Picard, S. Wiser, M. Zhou, G. Alberti, E.-D. Schulze, A.D. McGuire, F. Bozzato, H. Pretzsch, S. de-Miguel, A. Paquette, B. Herault, M. Scherer-Lorenzen, C.B. Barrett, H.B. Glick, G.M. Hengeveld, G.-J. Nabuurs, S. Pfautsch, H. Viana, A.C. Bibrans, C. Ammer, P. Schall, D. Verbyla, N. Tchbakova, M. Fischer, J.V. Watson, H.Y.H. Chen, X. Lei, M.-J. Schelhaas, H. Lu, D. Gianelle, E.I. Parfenova, C. Salas, E. Lee, B. Lee, H.S. Kim, H. Bruelheide, D.A. Coomes, D. Piotto, T. Sunderland, B. Schmid, S. Gourlet-Fleury, B. Sonke, R. Tavani, J. Zhu, S. Brandl, J. Vayreda, F. Kitahara, E.B. Searle, V.J. Neldner, M.R. Ngugi, C. Baraloto, L. Frizzera, R. Balazy, J. Oleksyn, T. Zawila-Niedzwiecki, O. Bouriaud, F. Bussotti, L. Finer, B. Jaroszewicz, T. Jucker, F. Valladares, A.M. Jagodzinski, P.L. Peri, C. Gonmadje, W. Marthy, T. O’Brien, E.H. Martin, A. Marshall, F. Rovero, R. Bitariho, P.A. Niklaus, P. Alvarez-Loayza, N. Chamuya, R. Valencia, F. Mortier, V. Wortel, N.L. Engone-Obiang, L.V. Ferreira, D.E. Odeke, R.M. Vasquez, and P.B. Reich. 2016. Positive biodiversity-productivity relationship predominant in global forests. Science 354:6309, 12 pages, doi:10.1126/science.aaf8957.
  • Breen, A.L., A. Bennett, T. Kurkowski, M. Lindgren, J. Schroder, A.D. McGuire, and T.S. Rupp. 2016. Projecting vegetation and wildfire response to changing climate and fire management in interior Alaska. Alaska Fire Science Consortium Research Summary 2016-1, 7 pages.
  • Wang, W., A. Rinke, J.C. Moore, D. Ji, X. Cui, S. Peng, D.M. Lawrence, A.D. McGuire, E.J. Burke, X. Chen, B. Decharme, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T.J. Bohn, P. Ciais, C. Delire, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, G. Krinner, D.P. Lettenmaier, P.A. Miller, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi, and A.B. Sherstiukov. Evaluation of air-soil temperature relationships simulated by land surface models during winter across the permafrost region. The Cryosphere 10:1721-1737, doi:10.5194/tc-10-1721-2016.
  • McGuire, A.D., C. Koven, D.M. Lawrence, J.S. Clein, J. Xia, C. Beer, E. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, C. Delire, E. Jafarov, A.H. MacDougall, S. Marchenko, D. Nicolsky, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T.J. Bohn, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, A. Ekici, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D.J. Hayes, D. Ji, G. Krinner, D.P. Lettenmaier, P.A. Miller, J.C. Moore, V. Romanovsky, C. Schadel, K. Schaefer, E.A.G. Schuur, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi, and Q. Zhuang. 2016. Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30:1015-1037, doi:10.1002/2016GB005405.
  • Genet, H., Y. He, A.D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, Y. Zhang, F. Biles, D.V. D’Amore, X. Zhou, and K.D. Johnson. 2016. Terrestrial carbon modeling: Baseline and projections in upland ecosystems. Chapter 6 (pages 105-132) in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1826, 196 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/pp1826.
  • He, Y., H. Genet, A.D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, B.K. Wylie, and Y. Zhang. 2016. Terrestrial carbon modeling: Baseline and projections in lowland ecosystems of Alaska. Chapter 7 (pages 133-158) in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1826, 196 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/pp1826.
  • McGuire, A.D., B.K. Wylie, D.V. D’Amore, X. Zhou, T.S. Rupp, H. Genet, Y. He, S. Stackpoole, and Z. Zhu. 2016. Executive Summary-Baseline and Projected Future Carbon Storage and Greenhouse-Gas Fluxes in Ecosystems of Alaska. Pages 1-3 in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1826, 196 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/pp1826.
  • McGuire, A.D., H. Genet, Y. He, S. Stackpoole, D.V. D’Amore, T.S. Rupp, B.K. Wylie, X. Zhou, and Z. Zhu. 2016. Alaska Carbon Balance. Chapter 9 (pages 189-196) in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1826, 196 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/pp1826.
  • McGuire, A.D., T.S. Rupp, T. Kurkowski, and S. Stackpoole. 2016. Introduction. Chapter 1 (pages 5-16) in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1826, 196 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/pp1826.
  • Zhou, X., S.A. Schroder, A.D. McGuire, and Z. Zhu. 2016. Forest inventory-based analysis and projections of forest carbon stocks and changes in Alaska coastal forests. Chapter 4 (pages 77-94) in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1826, 196 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/pp1826.
  • Zhu, Zhiliang, and McGuire, A.D., eds. 2016. Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1826, 196 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/pp1826.
  • Bond-Lamberty, B., D. Epron, J. Harden, M.E. Harmon, F. Hoffman, J. Kumar, A.D. McGuire, and R. Vargas. 2016. Estimating heterotrophic respiration at large scales: Challenges, approaches, and next steps. Ecosphere 7, Article e01380,13 pages, doi:10.1002/ecs2.1380.
  • Abbott, B.W., J.B. Jones, E.A.G. Schuur, F.S. Chapin III, W.B. Bowden, M.S. Bret-Harte, H.E. Epstein, M.D. Flannigan, T.K. Harms, T.N. Hollingsworth, M.C. Mack, A.D. McGuire, S.M. Natali, A.V. Rocha, S.E. Tank, M.R. Turetsky, J.E. Vonk, K.P. Wickland, G.R. Aiken, H.D. Alexander, R.M.W. Amon, B.W. Benscoter, Y. Bergeron, K. Bishop, O. Blarquez, B. Bond-Lamberty, A.L. Breen, I. Buffam, Y. Cai, C. Carcaillet, S.K Carey, J.M. Chen, H.Y.H. Chen, T.R. Christensen, L.W. Cooper, J.H.C. Cornelissen, W.J. de Groot, T.H. DeLuca, E. Dorrepaal, N. Fetcher, J.C. Finlay, B.C. Forbes, N.H. French, S. Gauthier, M.P. Girardin, S.J. Goetz, J.G. Goldammer, L. Gough, P. Grogan, L. Guo, P.E. Higuera, L. Hinzman, F.S. Hu, G. Hugelius, E.E. Jafarov, R. Jandt, J.F. Johnstone, J. Karlsson, E.S. Kasischke, G. Kattner, R. Kelly, F. Keuper, G.W. Kling, P. Kortelainen, J. Kouki, P. Kuhry, H. Laudon, I. Laurion, R.W. Macdonald, P.J. Mann, P.J. Martikainen, J.W. McClelland, U. Molau, S.F. Oberbauer, D. Olefeldt, D. Pare, M.-A. Parisien, S. Payette, C. Peng, O.S. Pokrovsky, E.B. Rastetter, P.A. Raymond, M.K. Raynolds, G. Rein, J.F. Reynolds, M. Robards, B.M. Rogers, C. Schadel, K. Schaefer, I.K. Schmidt, A. Shvidenko, J. Sky, R.G.M. Spencer, G. Starr, R.G. Striegl, R. Teisserenc, L.J. Tranvik, T. Virtanen, J. Welker, and S. Zimov. 2016. Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: An expert assessment. Environmental Research Letters 11, paper 034014, 13 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014.
  • Grosse, G., S. Goetz, A.D. McGuire, V.E. Romanovsky, and E.A.G. Schuur. 2016. Changing permafrost in a warming world and feedbacks to the Earth System. Submitted to Environmental Research Letters 11, paper 040201, 10 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/040201.
  • Wang, W., A. Rinke, J.C. Moore, X. Cui, D. Ji, Q. Li, N. Zhang, C. Wang, S. Zhang, D.M. Lawrence, A.D. McGuire, W. Zhang, C. Delire, C. Koven, K. Saito, A. MacDougall, E. Burke, and B. Decharme. 2016. Diagnostic and model dependent uncertainty of simulated Tibetan permafrost area. The Cryosphere 10:287-306, doi:10.5194/tc-287-2016.
  • Lara, M.J., H. Genet, A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, Y. Zhang, D.R.N. Brown, M.T. Jorgenson, V. Romanovsky, A. Breen, and W.R. Bolton. 2016. Thermokarst rates intensify due to climate change and forest fragmentation in an Alaskan boreal forest lowland. Global Change Biology 22:816-829, doi:10.1111/gcb.13124.
  • Kelly, R., H. Genet, A.D. McGuire, and F.S. Hu. 2016. Paleodata-informed modeling of large carbon losses from recent burning of boreal forests. Nature Climate Change 6:79-82, doi:10.1038/nclimate2832.
  • He, Y., J. Yang, Q. Zhuang, J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, Y. Liu, G. Wang, L. Gu. 2016. Incorporating microbial dormancy dynamics into soil decomposition models to improve quantification of soil carbon dynamics of northern temperate forests. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences 120:2596-2611, doi:10.1002/2015JG003130.
  • Peng, S., P. Ciais, G. Krinner, T. Wang, I. Gouttevin, A.D. McGuire, D. Lawrence, E. Burke, X. Chen, B. Decharme, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T.J. Bohn, C. Delire, T. Hajima, D. Ji, D.P. Lettenmaier, P.A. Miller, J.C. Moore, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi. 2016. Simulated high-latitude soil thermal dynamics during the past four decades. The Cryosphere 10:179-192, doi:10.5194/tc-10-179-2016.
  • Luo, Y., A. Ahlstrom, S.D. Allison, N.H. Batjes, V. Brovkin, N. Carvalhais, A. Chappell, P. Ciais, E.A. Davidson, A. Finzi, K. Georgiou, B. Guenet, O. Hararuk, J.W. Harden, Y. He, F. Hopkins, L. Jiang, C. Koven, R.B. Jackson, C.D. Jones, M.J. Lara, J. Liang, A.D. McGuire, W. Parton, C. Peng, J.T. Randerson, A. Salazar, C.A. Sierra, M.J. Smith, H. Tian, K.E.O. Todd-Brown, M. Torn, K.J. van Groenigen, Y.P. Wang, T.O. West, Y. Wei, W.R. Wieder, J. Xia, X. Xu, X. Xu, and T. Zhou. 2016. Toward more realistic projections of soil carbon dynamics by Earth system models. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30:40-56, doi:10.1002/2015GB005239.
  • Melvin, A.M., M.C. Mack, J.F. Johnstone, A.D. McGuire, H. Genet, and E.A.G. Schuur. 2015. Differences ecosystem carbon distribution linked to forest tree species composition in mid-successional boreal forest. Ecosystems 18:1472-1488, doi:10.1007/s10021-015-9912-7.
  • Parmentier, F.-J.W., W. Zhang, Y. Mi, X. Zhu, J. van Huissteden, D.J. Hayes, Q. Zhuang, T.R. Christensen, and A.D. McGuire. 2015. Rising methane emissions from northern wetlands associated with sea ice decline. Geophysical Research Letters 42:7214-7222, doi:10.1002/2015GL065013.
  • Koven, C.D., E.A.G. Schuur, C. Schadel, T.J. Bohn, E.J. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, P. Ciais, G. Grosse, J.W. Harden, D.J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, E.E. Jafarov, G. Krinner, P. Kuhry, D.M. Lawrence, A.H. MacDougall, S.S. Marchenko, A.D. McGuire, S.M. Natali, D.J. Nicolsky, D. Olefeldt, S. Peng, V.E. Romanovsky, K.M. Schaefer, J. Strauss, C.C. Treat, and M. Turetsky. 2015. A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the pernmafrost carbon-climate feedback. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 373:20140423, 23 pages, doi:10.1098/rsta.2014.0423.
  • Zhuang, Q., X. Zhu, Y. He, C. Prigent, J.M. Melillo, A.D. McGuire, R.G. Prinn, and D.W. Kicklighter. 2015. Influence of changes in wetland inundation extent on net fluxes of carbon dioxide and methane in northern high latitudes from 1993 to 2004. Environmental Research Letters 9, 13 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/095009.
  • Calef, M.P., A. Varvak, A.D. McGuire, F.S. Chapin III, and K.B. Reinhold. 2015. Recent changes in annual area burned in interior Alaska: The impact of fire management. Earth Interactions. 19: Paper 5, 17 pages. doi:10.1175/EI-D-14-0025.1.
  • Treat, C.C., S.M. Natali, J. Ernakovich, C.M. Iversen, M. Lupascu, A.D. McGuire, R.J. Norby, T.R. Chowdhury, A. Richter, H. Santruckova, C. Schadel, E.A.G. Schuur, V.L. Sloan, M.R. Turetsky, and M.P. Waldrop. 2015. A pan-Arctic synthesis of CH4 and CO2 production from anoxic soil incubations. Global Change Biology 21:2787-2803, doi:10.1111/gcb12875.
  • Rawlins, M., A.D. McGuire, J.S. Kimball, P. Dass, D. Lawrence, E. Burke, X. Chen, C. Delire, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T.J. Bohn, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D. Ji, G. Krinner, D.P. Lettenmaier, P. Miller, J.C. Moore, B. Smith13, T. Sueyoshi. 2015. Assessment of model estimates of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange across northern Eurasia. Biogeosciences 12:4385-4405. doi:10.5194/bg-12-1-2015.
  • Hultman, J., M.P. Waldrop, R. Mackelprang, M.M. David, J. McFarland, S.J. Blazewicz, J. Harden, M.R. Turetsky, A.D. McGuire, M.B. Shah, N.C. VerBerkmoes, L.H. Lee, K. Mavrommatis, and J.K. Jansson. 2015. Multi-omics of permafrost, active layer and thermokarst bog soil microbiomes. Nature 521:208-212. doi:10.1038/nature14238.
  • Liang, J., M. Zhou, P.C. Tobin, A.D. McGuire, and P.B. Reich. 2015. Biodiversity influences plant productivity through niche efficiency. Proceedings of the National Acadamy of Sciences 112:5738-5743. doi:10.1073/pnas.1409853112.
  • Schuur, E.A.G., A.D. McGuire, C. Schadel, G. Grosse, J.W. Harden, D.J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, C.D, Koven, P. Kuhry, D.M. Lawrence, S.M. Natali, D. Olefeldt, V.E. Romanovsky, K. Schaefer, M.R. Turetsky, C. Treat, J.E. Vonk. 2015. Climate Change and the Permafrost Carbon Feedback. Nature 520:171-179. doi:10.1038/nature14338.
  • Lara, M.J., A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, C.E. Tweedie, K.M. Hinkel, A.N. Skurikhin, V.E. Romanovsky, G. Grosse, W.R. Bolton, and H. Genet. 2015. Polygonal tundra geomorphological change in response to warming alters future CO2 and CH4 flux on the Barrow Peninsula. Global Change Biology 21:1634-1651. doi.10.1111/gcb.12757.
  • Churchill, A.C., M.R. Turetsky, A.D. McGuire, and T.N. Hollingsworth. 2015. Response of plant community structure and primary productivity to experimental drought and flooding in an Alaskan fen. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 45:185-193. doi:10.1139/cjfr-2014-0100.
  • King, A.W., R.J. Andres, K.J. Davis, M. Hafer, D.J. Hayes, D.N. Huntzinger, B. de Jong, W.A. Kurz, A.D. McGuire, R. Vargas, Y. Wei, T.O. West, and C.W. Woodall. 2015. North America’s net terrestrial CO2 exchange with the atmosphere 1990-2009. Biogeosciences 12:399-414. doi:10.5194/bg-12-399-2015.
  • Iversen, C.M., V.L. Sloan, P.F. Sullivan, E.S. Euskirchen, A.D. McGuire, R.J. Norby, A.P. Walker, J.M. Warren, and S.D. Wullschleger. 2014. The unseen iceberg: Plant roots in arctic tundra. Tansley Review. New Phytologist 205:34-58. doi:10.1111/nph.13003.
  • He., Y., J. Yang,. Q. Zhuang, A.D. McGuire, Q. Zhu, Y. Liu, and R.O Teskey. 2014. Uncertainty in the fate of soil organic carbon: A comparison of three conceptually different decomposition models in a larch plantation. Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences 119:1892-1905. doi:10.1002/2014JG002701.
  • Schimel, D, D.R. Strong, A.M. Ellison, D.P.C. Peters, S. Silver, E.A. Johnson, J. Belnap, A.T. Classen, T.E. Essington, A.O. Finley, B.D. Inouye, E.H. Stanley, and the Editorial Boards of Ecology, Ecological Applications, Ecological Monographs, Ecosphere, and Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (including A.D. McGuire). 2014. Editors are Editors, Not Oracles. Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America 95:342-346.
  • van Riper, C. III, James D. Nichols, G. Lynn Wingard, Jeffrey L. Kershner, James Cloern, Robert B. Jacobson, Robin P. White, Anthony D. McGuire, Byron K. Williams, Guy Gelfenbaum, and Carl D. Shapiro. 2014 USGS Ecosystem Research for the Next Decade: Advancing Discovery and Application in Parks and Protected Areas through Collaboration. George Wright Forum 31:129-136.
  • He, Y., Q. Zhuang, J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, Z. Fan, Y. Liu, and K. Wickland. 2014. The implications of microbial and substrate limitation for the fates of carbon in different organic soil horizon types of boreal forest ecosystems: A mechanistically based model analysis. Biogeosciences 11:4477-4491, doi:10.5194/bg-11-4477-2014.
  • Chapin, F.S., III, S.F. Trainor, P. Cochran, H. Huntington, C. Markon, M. McCammon, A.D. McGuire, and M. Serreze. 2014. Chapter 22: Alaska. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment. J.M. Melillo, T.C. Richmond, and G.W. Yohe (editors), U.S. Global Change Research Program, pp. 514-536. doi:10.7930/J00Z7150.
  • Klapstein, S.J., M.R. Turetsky, A.D. McGuire, J.W. Harden, C.I. Czimczik, X. Xu, J.P. Chanton, and J.M. Waddington. 2014. Controls on methane released through ebullition from peatlands affected by permafrost degradation. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 119:418-431, doi:10.1002/2013/G002441.
  • Hayes, D.J., D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, M. Chen, Q. Zhuang, F. Yuan, J.M. Melillo, and S.D. Wullschleger. 2014. The impacts of recent permafrost thaw on land-atmosphere greenhouse gas exchange. Environmental Research Letters 9, 12 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/045005.
  • Euskirchen, E.S., T.B. Carman, and A.D. McGuire. 2014. Changes in the structure and function of northern Alaskan ecosystems when considering variable leaf-out times across groupings of species in a dynamic vegetation model. Global Change Biology. In press. 20:963-978, doi: 10.1111/gcb.12392.
  • Gray, S.T., A. Bennett, W.R. Bolton, A.L. Breen, T. Carman, E. Euskirchen, H. Genet, E. Jafarov, J. Jenkins, T. Kurkowski, M. Lindgren, P. Martin, S. McAfee, A.D. McGuire, S. Marchenko, R. Muskett, S. Panda, J. Reynolds, A. Robertson, V. Romanovsky, T.S. Rupp, K. Timm, and Y. Zhang. 20134. Using integrated ecosystem modeling to improve toour understanding of climate change impacts in the Alaska region. Alaska National Parks Journal. In press. 12(2):12-17.
  • Kicklighter, D.W., D.J. Hayes, J.W. McClelland, B.J. Peterson, A.D. McGuire, and J.M. Melillo. In press. Insights and issues with simulating terrestrial DOC loading of arctic river networks. Ecological Applications 23:1817-1836.
  • Hinzman, L.D., C. Deal, A.D. McGuire, I Polyakov, J. Walsh, and S.H. Mernild. 2013 Trajectory of the Arctic as an integrated system. Ecological Applications 23:1837-1868.
  • McGuire, A.D., L.D. Hinzman, J. Walsh, J. Hobbie, and M. Sturm. Introduction to "Trajectory of the Arctic as an Integrated System". Ecological Applications. 23:1743-1744.
  • McConnell, N.A., M.R. Turetsky, A.D.McGuire, E.S. Kane, M.P. Waldrop, and J.W. Harden. 2013. Controls on ecosystem and root respiration across a permafrost and wetland gradient in interior Alaska. Environmental Research Letters, 8, 11 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/045029.
  • Genet, H., A.D.McGuire, K. Barrett, A. Breen, E.S. Euskirchen, J.F. Johnstone, E.S. Kasischke, A.M. Melvin, A. Bennett, M.C. Mack, T.S. Rupp, E.A.G. Schuur, M.R. Turetsky, and F. Yuan. 2013. Modeling the effects of fire severity and climate warming on active layer thickness and soil carbon storagedynamics of black spruce forests across the landscape in interior Alaska. Environmental Research Letters. In press. 8, 13 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/045016.
  • Zhuang, Q., M. Chen, K. Xu, J. Tang, E. Saikawa, Y. Lu, J.M. Melillo, R.G. Prinn and A.D. McGuire. 2013. Response of global soil consumption of atmospheric methane to changes in atmospheric climate and nitrogen deposition. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 27, 14 pages, doi:10.1002/gbc.20057.
  • Yi, S., N. Li, B. Xiang, X. Wang, B. Ye, and A.D. McGuire. 2013. Representing the effects of alpine grassland vegetation cover on the simulation of soil thermal dynamics by ecosystem models applied to the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 118, 14 pages, doi:10.1002/gjrg.20093.
  • He, Y., Q. Zhuang, A.D. McGuire, Y. Liu, and M. Chen. 2013. Alternative ways of using field-based estimates to calibrate ecosystem models and their implications for ecosystem carbon cycle studies. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 118, 11 pages, doi:10.1002/jgrg.20080.
  • Jafarov, E.E., V.E. Romanovsky, H. Genet, A.D. McGuire, and S.S. Marchenko. 2013. The effects of fire on the thermal stability of permafrost in lowland and upland black spruce forests of interior Alaska in a changing climate. Environmental Research Letters 8, 11 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035030.
  • Johnson,K.D., J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, M. Clark, F.M. Yuan, and A. Finley. 2013. Permafrost and organic layer interactions over a climate gradient in a discontinuous permafrost zone. Environmental Research Letters 8, 12 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035028.
  • Mishra, U., J.D. Jastrow, R. Matamala, G. Hugelius, C.D. Koven, J.W. Harden, C.L. Ping, G.J. Michaelson, Z. Fan, R.M. Miller, A.D. McGuire, C. Tarnocai, P. Kuhry, W.J. Riley, K. Schaefer, E.A.G. Schuur, M.T. Jorgenson, and L.D. Hinzman. 2013. Empirical estimates to reduce modeling uncertainties of soil organic carbon in permafrost regions: A review of recent progress and remaining challenges. Environmental Research Letters 8, 9 pages, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035020.

  • Schuur, E.A.G., B.W. Abbott, W.B. Bowden, V. Brovkin, P. Camill, J.P. Canadell, J.P. Chanton, F.S. Chapin III, T.R. Christensen, P. Ciais, P.M. Crill, B.T. Crosby, C.I. Czimczik, G. Grosse, J. Harden, D.J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, J.D. Jastrow, J.B. Jones, T. Kleinin, C.D. Koven, G. Krinner, P. Kuhry, D.M. Lawrence, A.D. McGuire, S.M. Natali, J.A. O’Donnell, C.L. Ping, W.J. Riley, A. Rinke, V.E. Romanovsky, A.B.K. Sannel, C. Schadel, K. Schaefer, J. Sky, Z.M. Subin, C. Tarnocai, M. Turetsky, M. Waldrop, K.M. Walter-Anthony, K.P. Wickland, C.J. Wilson, and S.A. Zimov. 2013. Expert assessment of potential permafrost carbon feedback to climate change. Climatic Change 119:359-374. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0730-7.
  • Parmentier, F.-J.W., T.R. Christensen, L.L. Sorensen, S. Rysgaard, A.D. McGuire, P.A. Miller, and D.A. Walker. 2013. The impact of lower sea ice extent on arctic greenhouse gas exchange. Nature Climate Change 3:195-202. doi:10.1038/nclimate1784.
  • Fan, Z., A.D. McGuire, M.R. Turetsky, J.W. Harden, J.M. Waddington, and E.S. Kane. 2013. The response of soil organic carbon of a rich fen peatland in interior Alaska to projected climate change. Global Change Biology 19:604-620. doi:10.1111/gcb.12041.
  • Olefeldt, D., M.R. Turetsky, P.M. Crill, and A.D. McGuire. 2013. Environmental and physical controls on northern high latitude methane fluxes across permafrost zones. Global Change Biology 19:589-603. doi:10.1111/gcb.12071.

  • Kane, E.S., M.R. Chivers, M.R. Turetsky, C.C. Treat, D.G. Petersen, M. Waldrop, J.W. Harden, and A.D. McGuire. 2013. Response of anaerobic carbon cycling to water table manipulation in an Alaskan rich fen. Soil Biology and Biogeochemistry 58:50-60.
  • Turetsky, M.R., B. Bond-Lamberty, E. Euskirchen, J. Talbot, S. Frolking, A.D. McGuire, and E.-S. Tuittila. 2012. The resilience and functional role of moss in boreal and arctic ecosystems. Tansley Review. New Phytologist. In press. 196:49-67, doi:10.1111/j.1469-8137.2012.04254.x.
  • McGuire, A.D. 2013. Ecosystem Element Cycling. In: Encyclopedia of Environmetrics 2nd Edition (eds. El-Shaarawi A.H., Piegorsch W.W.). John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Chichester, UK, pp. 779-783. doi 10.1002/9780470057339.vae011.pub2.
  • Callaghan, T.V., M. Johansson, O. Anisimov, H.H. Christiansen, A. Instanes, V. Romanovsky, S. Smith, and contributing authors (including A.D. McGuire). 2011. Changing permafrost and its impacts. Chapter 5 in Snow, Water, Ice, and Permafrost in the Arctic (SWIPA). Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Oslo, Norway, pp. 5-1 to 5-22.
  • Harden, J.W., C.D. Koven, C.-Lu Ping, G. Hugelius, A.D. McGuire, P. Camill, T. Jorgenson, P. Kuhry, G.J. Michaelson, J.A. O’Donnell, E.A.G. Schuur, C. Tarnocai, K. Johnson, and G. Grosse. 2012. Field information links permafrost carbon to physical vulnerabilities of thawing. Geophysical Research Letters 39, L15704, 6 pages, doi:10.1029/2012GL051958.
  • Huntzinger, D.N., W.M. Post, Y. Wei, A. Michalak, T.O. West, A. Jacobson, I.T. Baker, J.M. Chen, K.J. Davis, D.J. Hayes, F.M. Hoffman, A.K. Jain, S. Liu, A.D. McGuire, R.P. Neilson, B. Poulter, B.M. Raczka, H. Tian, P. Thornton, E. Tomelleri, N. Viovy, J. Xiao, N. Zeng, M. Zhao, and R. Cook. 2012. North American Carbon Project (NACP) Regional Interim Synthesis: Terrestrial biospheric model intercomparison. Ecological Modelling 232:144-157.
  • Waldrop, M.P., J.W. Harden, M.R. Turetsky, D.G. Petersen, A.D. McGuire, M.J.I. Briones, A.C. Churchill, D.H. Doctor, and L.E. Pruett. 2012. Bacterial and enchytraid abundance accelerate soil carbon turnover along a lowland vegetation gradient in Alaska. Soil Biology and Biochemistry 50:188-198, doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2012.02.032.
  • McGuire, A.D., T.R. Christensen, D. Hayes, A. Heroult, E. Euskirchen, J.S. Kimball, C. Koven, P. Lefleur, P.A. Miller, W. Oechel, P. Peylin, M. Williams, and Y. Yi. 2012. An assessment of the carbon balance of Arctic tundra: Comparisons among observations, process models, and atmospheric inversions. Biogeosciences 9:3185-3204, doi:10.5194/bg-9-3185-2012.
  • Hayes, D.J., D.P. Turner, G. Stinson, A.D. McGuire Y. Wei, T.O. West, L.S. Heath, B. deJong, B. McConkey, R. Birdsey, W.A. Kurz, A. Jacobson, D.N. Huntzinger, Y. Pan, W.M. Post, and R.B. Cook. 2012. Reconciling estimates of the contemporary North American carbon balance among terrestrial biosphere models, atmospheric inversions and a new approach for estimating net ecosystem exchange from inventory-based data. Global Change Biology 18:1282-1299. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02627.x.
  • Robertson, G.P., S.L. Collins, D.R. Foster, N. Brokaw, H.W. Ducklow, T.L Gragson, C. Gries, S.K. Hamilton, A.D. McGuire, J.C. Moore, E.H. Stanley, R.B. Waide, and M.W. Williams. 2012. Long Term Ecological Research in a Human-Dominated World. BioScience 62:342-353.
  • O’Donnell, J.A., M.T. Jorgenson, J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, M.Z. Kanevskiy, and K.P. Wickland. 2012. The effects of permafrost thaw on soil hydrologic, thermal and carbon dynamics in an Alaskan peatland. Ecosystems 15:213-229. DOI: 10.1007/s10021-011-9504-0.
  • Liu, S., B. Bond-Lamberty, J.A. Hicke, R. Vargas, S. Zhao, J. Chen, S.L. Edburg, Y. Hu, J. Liu, A.D. McGuire, J. Xiao, R. Keane, W. Yuan, J. Tang, Y. Luo, C. Potter, and J. Oeding. 2011. Simulating the impacts of disturbances on forest carbon cycling in North America: Processes, data, models, and challenges. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 116, G00K08, doi:10.1029/2010JG001585.
  • Johnson, K.D., J. Harden, A.D. McGuire, N.B. Bliss, J.G. Bockheim, M. Clark, T. Nettleton-Hollingsworth, M.T. Jorgenson, E.S. Kane, M. Mack, J. O’Donnell, C.L. Ping, E.A.G. Schuur, M.R. Turetsky, and D.W. Valentine. 2011. Soil carbon distribution in Alaska in relation to soil-forming factors. Geoderma 167-168:71-84.
  • Wolken, J.M., T.N. Hollingsworth, T.S. Rupp, F.S. Chapin III, S.F. Trainor, T.M Barrett, P.F. Sullivan, A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, P.E. Hennon, E.A. Beever, J.S. Conn, L.K. Crone, D.V. D’Amore, N. Fresco, T.A. Hanley, K. Kielland, J.J. Kruse, T. Patterson, E.A.G. Schuur, D.L. Verbyla, and J. Yarie. 2011. Evidence and implications of recent and projected climate change in Alaska’s forest ecosystems. Ecosphere 2(11), Article 124, 35 pp., doi:10.1890/ES11-00288.1.
  • Barrett, K., A.D. McGuire, E.E. Hoy, and E.S. Kasischke. 2011. Potential shifts in dominant forest cover in interior Alaska driven by variations in fire severity. Ecological Applications 21(7):2380-2396.
  • Magness, D.R., J.M. Morton, F. Huettmann, F.S. Chapin III, and A.D. McGuire. 2011. A climate-change adaptation framework to reduce continental-scale vulnerability across conservation reserves. Ecosphere 2, Article 112, 23 pages, doi:10.1890/ES11-00200.1
  • Hayes, D.J., A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, K.R. Gurney, T.J. Burnside, and J.M. Melillo. 2011. Is the northern high latitude land-based CO2 sink weakening? Global Biogeochemical Cycles 25, GB3018, 14 pp. doi:10.1029/2010GB003813
  • Pan, Y., R.A. Birdsey, J. Fang, R. Houghton, P.E. Kauppi, W.A. Kurz, O.L. Phillips, A. Shvidenko, S.L. Lewis, J.G. Canadell, P. Ciais, R.B. Jackson, S. Pacala, A.D. McGuire, S. Piao, A. Rautiainen, S. Sitch, and D. Hayes. 2011. A large and persistent carbon sink in the world’s forests. Science 333:988-993, doi:10.1126/science.1201609.
  • Grosse, G., J. Harden, M. Turetsky, A.D. McGuire, P. Camill, C. Tarnocoi, S. Frolking, E.A.G. Schuur, T. Jorgenson, S. Marchenko, V. Romanovsky, K.P. Wickland, N. French, M. Waldrop, L. Bourgeau-Chavez, and R. G. Striegl. 2011. Vulnerability of high-latitude soil organic carbon in North America to disturbance. Journal of Geophysical Research 116, G00K06, doi:10.1029/2010JG001507. 23 pp.
  • O’Donnell, J.A., J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, and V.E. Romanovsky. 2011. Exploring the sensitivity of soil carbon dynamics to climate change, fire disturbance and permafrost thaw in a black spruce ecosystem. Biogeosciences 8 (1367-1382). Publisher Website | 
  • Hayes, D.J., A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, T.J. Burnside, and J.M. Melillo. 2011. The effects of land cover and land use change on the contemporary carbon balance of the arctic and boreal ecosystems of northern Eurasia. Chapter 6 in Eurasian Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate (edited by G. Gutman and A. Reissell). Springer, New York. Pp. 109-136.
  • Krankina, O.N., D. Pflugmacher, D. Hayes, A.D. McGuire, M. Hansen, T. Hame, V. Elsakov, and P. Nelson. 2011. Vegetation cover in the Eurasian Arctic: Distribution, monitoring, and role in carbon cycling. Chapter 5 in Eurasian Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate (edited by G. Gutman and A. Reissell). Springer, New York. Pp. 79-108.
  • O’Donnell, J.A., J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, M.Z. Kanevskiy, M.T. Jorgenson, and X. Xu. 2011. The effect of fire and permafrost interactions on soil carbon accumulation in an upland black spruce ecosystem of interior Alaska: Implications for post-thaw carbon loss. Global Change Biology 17:1461-1474, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02358.x.
  • Yi, S., A.D. McGuire, E. Kasischke, J. Harden, K. Manies, M. Mack, and M. Turetsky. 2010. A dynamic organic soil biogeochemical model for simulating the effects of wildfire on soil environmental conditions and carbon dynamics of black spruce forests. Journal of Geophysical Research 115, G04015, 15 pages, doi: 10.1029/2010JG001302.
  • Kane, E.S., M.R. Turetsky, J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, and J.M. Waddington. 2010. Seasonal ice and hydrologic controls on dissolved organic carbon and nitrogen concentrations in a boreal-rich fen. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 115, G04012, 15 pages, doi:10.1029/2010JG001366.
  • McGuire, A.D., D.J. Hayes, D.W. Kicklighter, M. Manizza, Q. Zhuang, M. Chen, M.J. Follows, K.R. Gurney, J.W. McClelland, J.M. Melillo, B.J. Peterson, and R. Prinn. 2010. An analysis of the carbon balance of the Arctic Basin from 1997 to 2006. Tellus 62B:455-474. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2010.00497.x
  • McGuire, A.D., R.W. Macdonald, E.A.G. Schuur, J.W. Harden, P. Kuhry, D.J. Hayes, T.R. Christensen, and M. Heimann. 2010. The carbon budget of the northern cryosphere region. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 2:231-236. doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2010.05.003 Publisher Website | 
  • Barrett, K., E.S. Kasischke, A.D. McGuire, M.R. Turetsky, and E.S. Kane. 2010. Modeling fire severity in black spruce stands in the Alaskan boreal forest. International Journal of Remote Sensing 114:1494-1503, doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2010.02.001.
  • Chapin, F.S. III, A.D. McGuire, R.W. Ruess, T.N. Hollingsworth, M.C. Mack, J.F. Johnstone, E. Kasischke, E.S. Euskirchen, J.B. Jones, M.T. Jorgenson, K. Kielland, G.P. Kofinas, M.R. Turetsky, J. Yarie, A.H. Lloyd, and D.L. Taylor. 2010. Resilience to climate change in Alaska’s boreal forest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 40:1360-1370. doi:10.1139/X10-074. Publisher Website | 
  • McGuire, A.D., F.S. Chapin III, and R.W. Ruess, Special Editors. 2010. The Dynamics of Change in Alaska’s Boreal Forests: Resilience and Vulnerability in Response to Climate Warming. Foreword. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 40:1195-1196.
  • Euskirchen, E.S., A.D. McGuire, F.S. Chapin, and T.S. Rupp. 2010. The changing effects of Alaska boreal forests on the climate system. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 40:1336-1346. doi:10.1139/X09-209. Publisher Website | 
  • Kasischke, E.S., D. Verbyla, T.S. Rupp, A.D. McGuire, K.A. Murphy, J.L. Allen, E.E. Hoy, R. Jandt, P. Duffy, M. Calef, and M.R. Turetsky. 2010. Alaska’s changing fire regime – Implications for the vulnerability of its boreal forests. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 40:1313-1324. doi:10.1139/X10-098. Publisher Website | 
  • McGuire, A.D., R.W. Ruess, A. Lloyd, J. Yarie, J.S. Clein, and G. Juday. 2010. Vulnerability of white spruce tree growth in interior Alaska in response to climate variability: Dendrochronological, demographic, and experimental perspectives. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 40:1197-1209. doi:10.1139/X09-206.
  • Euskirchen, E.S., A.D. McGuire, T.S. Rupp, F.S. Chapin III, and J.E. Walsh. 2009. Projected changes in atmospheric heating due to changes in fire disturbance and the snow season in the western Arctic, 2003–2100. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 114, G04022, 15 pages. doi:10.1029/2009JG001095.
  • Jain, A., X. Yang, H. Kheshgi, A.D. McGuire, W. Post, and D. Kicklighter. 2009. Nitrogen attenuation of terrestrial carbon cycle response to global environmental factors. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 23, GB4028. 13 pp. doi:10.1029/2009GB003519.
  • O'Donnell, J.A., V.E. Romanovsky, J.W. Harden, and A.D. McGuire. 2009. The effect of moisture content on the thermal conductivity of moss and organic soil horizons from black spruce ecosystems in interior Alaska. Soil Science 174(12):646-651. Publisher Website | 
  • Chivers, M.R., M.R. Turetsky, J.M. Waddington, J.W. Harden, and A.D. McGuire. 2009. Effects of experimental water table and temperature manipulations on ecosystem CO2 fluxes in an Alaskan rich fen. Ecosystems 12:1329-1342.
  • McGuire, A.D., L.G. Anderson, T.R. Christensen, S. Dallimore, L. Guo, D.J. Hayes, M. Heimann, T.D. Lorenson, R.W. Macdonald, and N. Roulet. 2009. Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change. Ecological Monographs 79(4):523-555.
  • Post, E., M.C. Forchhammer, M.S. Bret-Harte, T.V. Callaghan, T.R. Christensen, B. Elberling, A.D. Fox, O. Gilg, D.S. Hik, T.T. Hoye, R.A. Ims, E. Jeppesen, D.R. Klein, J. Madsen, A.D. McGuire, et al. 2009. Ecological dynamics across the Arctic associated with recent climate change. Science 325:1355-1358. Publisher Website | 
  • Xiao, J., Q. Zhuang, E. Liang, A.D. McGuire, A. Moody, D.W. Kicklighter, X. Shao, and J.M. Melillo. 2009. Twentieth Century droughts and their impacts on terrestrial carbon cycling in China. Earth Interactions 13(10):1-17. DOI: 10.1175/2009EI275.1 Publisher Website | 
  • Birdsey, R., N. Bates, M. Behrenfeld, K. Davis, S. Doney, R. Feely, D. Hansell, L. Heath, E. Kasischke, H. Kheshgi, B. Law, C. Lee, A.D. McGuire, P. Raymond, and C.J. Tucker. 2009. Carbon cycle observations: Gaps threaten climate mitigation policies. Eos 90(34):292-293.
    Publisher Website | 
  • Chapin, F.S. III, J. McFarland, A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, R.W. Ruess, and K. Kielland. 2009. The changing global carbon cycle: linking plant-soil carbon dynamics to global consequences. Journal of Ecology 97:840-850.
  • Euskirchen, E.S., A.D. McGuire, F.S. Chapin, III, S. Yi, and C.C. Thompson. 2009. Changes in vegetation in northern Alaska under scenarios of climate change, 2003-2100: implications for climate feedback. Ecological Applications 19(4):1022-1043.
  • Griffith, B., J.M Scott, R. Adamcik, D. Ashe, B. Czech, R. Fischman, P. Gonzalez, J. Lawler, A.D. McGuire, and A. Pidgorna. 2009. Climate change adaptation options for the US National Wildlife Refuge System. Environmental Management. DOI 10.1007/s00267-009-9323-7 Publisher Website | 
  • Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, P. Duffy, M. Flannigan, D.W. Kicklighter, and J. Melillo. 2009. Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21st century. Global Change Biology 15:1491-1510. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01877.x
  • Karl, T.R., J.M. Melillo, T.C. Peterson, D.M. Anderson, D.F. Boesch, V. Burkett, L.M. Carter, S.J. Cohen, N.B. Grimm, J.L. Hatfield, K. Hayhoe, A. Janetos, J.A. Kaye, J. Lawrimore, J. McCarthy, A.D. McGuire, E. Miles, E. Mills, J.T. Overpeck, J. Patz, R. Pulwarthy, B. Santer, M.J. Savonis, H.G. Schwartz, E. Shea, J. Stone, B.H. Udall, J. Walsh, M.F. Wehner, T.J. Wilbanks, and D. Wuebbles. 2009. Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States: A State of Knowledge Report from the U.S. Global Change Research Program. Cambridge University Press. New York. 188 pages.
  • Barber, V.A., G.P. Juday, T. Osterkamp, R. D'Arrigo, E. Berg, E. Buckley, L. Hinzman, H. Huntington, T. Jorgenson, A.D. McGuire, B. Riordan, A. Whiting, G. Wiles, and M. Wilmking. 2009. A synthesis of recent climate warming effects on terrestrial ecosystems of Alaska. Chapter 9. Pages 110-139 in F. Wagner, ed. Climate Warming in Western North America: Evidence and Environmental Effects. University of Utah Press, Salt Lake City, UT.
  • Yi, S., A.D. McGuire, J. Harden, E. Kasischke, K. Manies, L. Hinzman, A. Liljedahl, J. Randerson, H. Liu, V. Romanovsky, S. Marchenko, and Y Kim. 2009. Interactions between soil thermal and hydrological dynamics in the response of Alaska ecosystems to fire disturbance. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences 114, G02015, 20 pages. doi:10.1029/2008JG000841.
  • Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, P. Duffy, M. Flannigan, J. Walsh, and J. Melillo. 2009. Assessing the response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach. Global Change Biology 15:578-600. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01679.x.
  • Trainor, S.F., M. Calef, D. Natcher, F.S. Chapin III, A.D. McGuire, O. Huntington, P. Duffy, T.S. Rupp, L. DeWilde, M. Kwart, N. Fresco, and A.L. Lovecraft. 2009. Vulnerability and adaptation to climate-related fire impacts in rural and urban interior Alaska. Polar Research 28:100-118.
  • Yi, S., K. Manies, J. Harden, and A.D. McGuire. 2009. Characteristics of organic soil in black spruce forests: Implications for the application of land surface and ecosystem models in cold regions. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L05501, 5 pages. doi: 10.1029/2008GL037014.
  • Fagre, D.B., C.W. Charles, C.D. Allen, C. Birkeland, F.S. Chapin III, P.M. Groffman, G.R. Gunternspergen, A.K. Knapp, A.D. McGuire, P.J. Mulholland, D.P.C. Peters, D.D. Roby, and G. Sugihara. 2009. Thresholds of climate change in ecosystems. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston VA, USA. 170 pages.
  • McGuire, A.D., J. Walsh, J. Kimball, J. Clein, S. Euskirchen, S. Drobot, U. Herzfeld, J. Maslanik, R. Lammers, M. Rawlins, C. Vorosmarty, T. Rupp, W. Wu, and M. Calef. 2008. The Western Arctic Linkage Experiment (WALE): Overview and synthesis. Earth Interactions 12, Paper 7, 13 pages. doi:10.1175/2008EI239.1.
  • Griffith, B., and A.D. McGuire. 2008. National Wildlife Refuges Case Study: Alaska and the Central Flyway. Annex A: Case Studies. Pages A-36 to A-46 in: Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research [S.H. Julius and J.M West (eds. ), J.S. Baron, B. Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (authors)]. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.
  • Myers-Smith, I.H., J.W. Harden, M. Wilmking, C.C. Fuller, A.D. McGuire, and F.S. Chapin III. 2008. Wetland succession in a permafrost collapse: Interactions between fire and thermokarst. Biogeosciences 5:1273-1286.
  • Scott, J.M., B. Griffith, R.S. Adamcik, D.M. Ashe, B. Czech, R.L. Fischman, P. Gonzalez, J.J. Lawler, A.D. McGuire, and A. Pidgorna. National Wildlife Refuges. 2008. National Wildlife Refuges. Pages 5-1 to 5-100 in: Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research [S.H. Julius and J.M West (eds. ), J.S. Baron, B. Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J. M. Scott (authors). U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.
  • Turetsky, M.R., C.C. Treat, M. Waldrop, M. Waddington, J.W. Harden, and A.D. McGuire. 2008. Short-term response of methane fluxes and methanogen activity to water table and soil warming manipulations in an Alaskan peatland. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences 113, G00A10, doi:10. 1029/2007JG000496.
  • Wood, S.A., J. Beringer, L.B. Hutley, A.D. McGuire, A. Van Dijk, and M. Kilinc. 2008. Impacts of fire on forest age and runoff in mountain ash forests. Functional Plant Biology 35:483-492.
  • Chapin, F.S., III, S.F. Trainor, O. Huntington, A.L. Lovecraft, E. Zavaleta, D.C. Natcher, A.D. McGuire, J.L. Nelson, L. Ray, M. Calef, N. Fresco, H. Huntington, T.S. Rupp, L. DeWilde, and R.A. Naylor. 2008. Increasing wildfire in Alaska's boreal forest: Causes, consequences, and pathways to potential solutions of a wicked problem. BioScience 58:531-540.
  • Chapin, F. S. III, J. T. Randerson, A. D. McGuire, J. A. Foley, and C. B. Field. 2008. Changing feedbacks in the climate-biosphere system. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 6:313-320, doi:10. 1890/080005.
  • Calef, M.P., A.D. McGuire, and F.S. Chapin III. 2008. Human influences on wildfire in Alaska from 1998 through 2005: An analysis of the spatial patterns of human impacts. Earth Interactions 12, Paper 1, 17 pages, doi:10. 1175/2007EI220. 1.
  • Corell, R.W., S.J. Hassol, J.M. Melillo, D. Archer, E. Euskirchen, F.S. Chapin III, A.D. McGuire, T.R. Christensen, V.P. Fichelet, K. Walter, Q. Zhuang, T. Callaghan, S. Bech, and C. McMullen. 2008. Methane from the Arctic: Global warming wildcard. Pages 37-48 in P. Harrison, ed. UNEP Year Book 2008. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.
  • Myers-Smith, I.H., A.D. McGuire, J.W. Harden, and F.S. Chapin III. 2007. Influence of disturbance on carbon exchange in a permafrost collapse and adjacent burned forest. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 112, G04017, doi:10.1029/2007JG000423
  • Euskirchen, E. S., A. D. McGuire, and F. S. Chapin III. 2007. Energy feedbacks of northern high-latitude ecosystems to the climate system due to reduced snow cover during 20th century warming. Global Change Biology 13:2425-2438, doi:10. 1111/j. 1365-2486. 2007. 01450. x
  • Clein, J., A. D. McGuire, E. S. Euskirchen, and M. Calef. 2007. The effects of different climate input datasets on simulated carbon dynamics in the Western Arctic. Earth Interactions 11, Paper 12, doi:10. 1175/E1229. 1.
  • Duffy, P. A., J. Epting, J. M. Graham, T. S. Rupp, and A. D. McGuire. 2007. Analysis of Alaskan burn severity patterns using remotely sensed data. International Journal of Wildland Fire 16:277-284.
  • Balshi, M. S., A. D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, D. W. Kicklighter, E. Kasischke, C. Wirth, M. Flannigan, J. Harden, J. S. Clein, T. J. Burnside, J. McAllister, W. A. Kurz, M. Apps, and A. Shvidenko. 2007. The role of historical fire disturbance in the carbon dynamics of the pan-boreal region: A process-based analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 112, G02029, doi: 10. 1029/2006JG000380, 2007.
  • Sitch, S., A. D. McGuire, J. Kimball, N. Gedney, J. Gamon, R. Engstrom, A. Wolf, Q. Zhuang, J. Clein, and K. C. McDonald. 2007. Assessing the carbon balance of circumpolar arctic tundra using remote sensing and process modeling. Ecological Applications 17:213-234.
  • Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, R. G. Prinn, P. A. Steudler, B. S. Felzer, and S. Hu. 2007. Net emissions of CH4 and CO2 in Alaska: Implications for the region's greenhouse gas budget. Ecological Applications 17:203-212
  • Kimball, J. S., M. Zhao, A. D. McGuire, F. A. Heinsch, J. Clein, M. Calef, W. M. Jolly, S. Kang, S. E. Euskirchen, K. C. McDonald, and S. W. Running. 2007. Recent climate-driven increases in vegetation productivity for the Western Arctic: Evidence of an acceleration of the northern terrestrial carbon cycle. Earth Interactions 11, Paper 4. 30 pp.
  • Rupp, T. S., X. Chen, M. Olson, and A. D. McGuire. 2007. Sensitivity of simulated boreal fire dynamics to uncertainties in climate drivers. Earth Interactions 11, Paper 3. 21 pp.
  • Wu, W., A. H. Lynch, S. Drobot, J. Maslanik, A. D. McGuire, and U. Hertzfeld. 2007. Comparative analysis of the Western Arctic surface climate among observations and model simulations. Earth Interactions 11(6): 24 pp.
  • McGuire, A. D., F. S. Chapin III, C. Wirth, M. Apps, J. Bhatti, T. Callaghan, T. R. Christensen, J. S. Clein, M. Fukuda, T. Maximov, A. Onuchin, A. Shvidenko, and E. Vaganov. 2007. Responses of high latitude ecosystems to global change: Potential consequences for the climate system. Pages 297-310 in J. G. Canadell, D. E. Pataki, and L. F. Pitelka, eds. Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World. The IGBP Series, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelburg.
  • Chapin, F. S., III, G. M. Woodwell, J. T. Randerson, G. M. Lovett, E. B. Rastetter, G. M. Lovett, D. D. Baldocchi, D. A. Clark, M. E. Harmon, D. S. Schimel, R. Valentini, C. Wirth, J. D. Aber, J. J. Cole, M. L. Goulden, J. W. Harden, M. Heimann, R. W. Howarth, P. A. Matson, A. D. McGuire, J. M. Melillo, H. A. Mooney, J. C. Neff, R. A. Houghton, M. L. Pace, M. G. Ryan, S. W. Running, O. E. Sala, W. H. Schlesinger, and E. -D. Schulze. 2006. Reconciling carbon-cycle concepts, terminology, and methods. Ecosystems 9:1041-1050
  • McGuire, A. D., F. S. Chapin III, J. E. Walsh, and C. Wirth. 2006. Integrated regional changes in arctic climate feedbacks: Implications for the global climate system. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 31:61-91.
  • Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, M. C. Sarofim, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, B. S. Felzer, A. Sokolov, R. G. Prinn, P. A. Steudler, and S. Hu. Published. CO2 and CH4 exchanges between land ecosystems and the atmosphere in northern high latitudes over the 21st century. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L17403, doi: 10. 1029/2006GL026972, 2006
  • Chapin, F. S., III, A. D. McGuire, R. W. Ruess, M. W. Walker, R. D. Boone, M. E. Edwards, B. P. Finney, L. D. Hinzman, J. B. Jones, G. P. Juday, E. S. Kasischke, K. Kielland, A. H. Lloyd, M. W. Oswood, C. L. Ping, E. Rexstad, V. E. Romanovsky, J. P. Schimel, E. B. Sparrow, B. Sveinbjornsson, D. W. Valentine, K. Van Cleve, D. L. Verbyla, L. A. Viereck, R. A. Werner, T. L. Wurtz, and J. Yarie. 2006. Summary and synthesis: Past and future changes in the Alaskan boreal forest. Pages 332-338 in F. S. Chapin, III, M. W. Oswood, K. Van Cleve, L. A. Viereck, and D. L. Verbyla, eds. Alaska's Changing Boreal Forest. Oxford University Press, New York.
  • McGuire, A. D., and F. S. Chapin, III. 2006. Climate feedbacks in the Alaskan boreal forest. Pages 309-322 in F. S. Chapin, III, M. W. Oswood, K. Van Cleve, L. A. Viereck, and D. L. Verbyla, eds. Alaska's Changing Boreal Forest. Oxford University Press, New York.
  • Valentine, D. W., K. Kielland, F. S. Chapin, III, A. D. McGuire, and K. Van Cleve. 2006. Patterns of biogeochemistry in Alaskan boreal forests. Pages 241-266 in F. S. Chapin, III, M. W. Oswood, K. Van Cleve, L. A. Viereck, and D. L. Verbyla, eds. Alaska's Changing Boreal Forest. Oxford University Press, New York.
  • Euskirchen, E. S., A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, Q. Zhuang, J. S. Clein, . R. J. Dargaville, D. G. Dye, J. S. Kimball, K. C. McDonald, J. M. Melillo, V. E. Romanovsky, and N. V. Smith. 2006. Importance of recent shifts in soil thermal dynamics on growing season length, productivity, and carbon sequestration in terrestrial high-latitude ecosystems. Global Change Biology 12:731-750, doi: 10. 1111/j. 1365-2486. 2006. 01113. x.
  • Zhang, X., A. D. McGuire, and R. W. Ruess. 2006. Scaling uncertainties in estimating canopy foliar maintenance respiration for black spruce ecosystems in Alaska. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 11:147-171.
  • Chapin, F. S. III, M. Sturm, M. C. Serreze, J. P. McFadden, J. R. Key, A. H. Lloyd, A. D. McGuire, T. S. Rupp, A. H. Lynch, J. P. Schimel, J. Beringer, H. E. Epstein, E. Euskirchen, L. D. Hinzman, G. Jia, C. -L. Ping, K. D. Tape, C. D. C. Thompson, D. A. Walker, and J. M. Welker. 2006. Role of land-surface changes in arctic summer warming. Science 310:657-660.
  • McGuire, A. D., and M. A. Apps. 2005. Foreword: Climate-Disturbance Interactions in Boreal Forest Ecosystems. Special Issue of Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. DOI:10/1007/s11027-005-9021-6.
  • Riordan, B., D. Verbyla, and A. D. McGuire. 2006. Shrinking ponds in subarctic Alaska based on the 1950-2002 remotely sensed images. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences.
  • Hinzman, L. D, N. D. Bettez, W. R. Bolton, F. S. Chapin, M. B. Dyurgerov, C. L. Fastie, B. Griffith, R. D. Hollister, A. Hope, H. P. Huntington, A. M. Jensen, G. J. Jia, T. Jorgenson, D. L. Kane, D. R. Klein, G. Kofinas, A. H. Lynch, A. H. Lloyd, A. D. McGuire, F. E. Nelson, W. C. Oechel, T. E. Osterkamp, C. H. Racine, V. E. Romanovsky, R. S. Stone, D. A. Stow, M. Sturm, C. E. Tweedie, G. L. Vourlitis, M. D. Walker, D. A. Walker, P. J. Webber, J. M. Welker, K. S. Winker, and K. Yoshikawa. 2005. Evidence and implications of recent climate change in northern Alaska and other Arctic regions. Climatic Change 72:251-298.
  • Apps, M. A., and A. D. McGuire. 2005. Climate-Disturbance Interactions in Boreal Forest Ecosystems. Peer-reviewed papers selected from the IBFRA Conference, Fairbanks, Alaska, 3-6 May 2004. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35:2073-2293
  • Maier, J. A. K., J. M. Ver Hoef, A. D. McGuire, R. T. Bowyer, L. Saperstein, and H. A. Maier. 2005. Distribution and density of moose in relation to landscape characteristics: Effects of scale. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35:2233-2243.
  • Thompson, C. C., A. D. McGuire, J. S. Clein, F. S. Chapin III, and J. Beringer. 2005. Net carbon exchange across the arctic tundra-boreal forest transition in Alaska 1981-2000. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 11:805-827.
  • Beringer, J., F. S. Chapin, C. C. Thompson, and A. D. McGuire. 2005. Surface energy exchanges along a tundra-forest transition and feedbacks to climate. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 131(3-4):143-161.
  • Calef, M. P., A. D. McGuire, H. E. Epstein, T. S. Rupp, and H. H. Shugart. 2005. Analysis of vegetation distribution in interior Alaska and sensitivity to climate change using a logistic regression approach. Journal of Biogeography 32:863-878.
  • Zhuang, Q., V. E. Romanovsky, and A. D. McGuire. 2005. Incorporation of a permafrost model into a large-scale ecosystem model: Evaluation of temporal and spatial scaling issues in simulating soil thermal dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 106:33, 649-33, 670.
  • Chapin, F. S. III, M. Berman, T. V. Callaghan, A. -S. Crepin, K. Danell, H. Ducklow, B. Forbes, G. Kofinas, A. D. McGuire, M. Nuttall, R. Virginia, O. Young, and S. Zimov. 2005. Polar Systems. Pages 717-743 in H. Hassan, R. Scholes, and N. Ash, eds. Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Current State and Trends. Island Press, Washington, DC.
  • Csiszar, I., C. O. Justice, A. D. McGuire, M. A. Cochrane, D. P. Roy, F. Brown, S. G. Conard, P. G. H. Frost, L. Giglio, C. Elvidge, M. D. Flannigan, E. Kasischke, D. J. McRae, T. S. Rupp, B. J. Stocks, and D. L. Verbyla. 2004. Land use and fires. Chapter 19 (pp. 329-350) in G. Gutman, A. C. Janetos, C. O. Justice, E. F. Moran, J. F. Mustard, R. R. Rindfuss, D. Skole, B. L. Turner II, and M. A. Cochrane. 2004. Land Change Science: Observing, Monitoring, and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth's Surface. Kluwer Academic Press, Dordrecht, Netherlands.
  • McGuire, A. D., M. Apps, F. S. Chapin III, R. Dargaville, M. D. Flannigan, E. S. Kasischke, D. Kicklighter, J. Kimball, W. Kurz, D. J. McRae, K. McDonald, J. Melillo, R. Myneni, B. J. Stocks, D. L. Verbyla, and Q. Zhuang. 2004. Land cover disturbances and feedback to the climate system in Canada and Alaska. Chapter 9 (pp. 139-161) in G. Gutman, A. C. Janetos, C. O. Justice, E. F. Moran, J. F. Mustard, R. R. Rindfuss, D. Skole, B. L. Turner II, and M. A. Cochrane, eds. Land Change Science: Observing, Monitoring, and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth's Surface. Kluwer Academic Press, Dordrecht, The Netherlands.
  • Kittel, T. G. F., N. A. Rosenbloom, J. A. Royle, C. Daly, W. P. Gibson, H. H. Fisher, P. Thornton, D. N. Yates, S. Aulenbach, C. Kaufman, R. McKeown, D. Bachelet, D. S. Schimel, and VEMAP2 Participants (including A. David McGuire). 2004. The VEMAP Phase 2 Bioclimatic Database I: A gridded historical (20th Century) climate dataset for modeling ecosystem dynamics across the conterminous United States. Climate Research 27:151-170.
  • Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, R. G. Prinn, A. D. McGuire, P. A. Steudler, B. S. Felzer, and S. Hu. 2004. Methane fluxes between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere at northern high latitudes during the past century: A retrospective analysis with a process-based biogeochemistry model. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 18:GB3010, doi:10. 1029/2004GB002239.
  • Stow, D., A. Hope, A. D. McGuire, D. Verbyla, J. Gamon, K. Huemmrich, S. Houston, C. Racine, M. Sturm, K. Tape, K. Yoshikawa, L. Hinzman, C. Tweedie, B. Noyle, C. Silapaswan, D. Douglas, B. Griffith, G. Jia, H. Epstein, D. Walker, S. Daeschner, A. Petersen, L. Zhou, and R. Myneni. 2004. Remote sensing of vegetation and land-cover changes in Arctic tundra ecosystems. Remote Sensing of Environment 89:281-308.
  • Thompson, C. D., J. Beringer, F. S. Chapin III, and A. D. McGuire. 2004. Relationship of structural complexity to land-surface energy exchange along a gradient from arctic tundra to boreal forest. Journal of Vegetation Science 15:397-406.
  • Bigelow, N. H., L. B. Brubaker, M. E. Edwards, S. P. Harrison, I. C. Prentice, P. M. Anderson, A. A. Andreev, P. J. Bartlein, T. R. Christensen, W. Cramer, J. O. Kaplan, A. V. Lozhkin, N. V. Matveyeva, D. F. Murray, A. D. McGuire, V. Y. Razzhivin, J. C. Ritchie, B. Smith, D. A. Walker, K. Gajewski, V. Wolf, B. H. Holmqvist, Y. Igarashi, K. Kremenetskii, A. Paus, M. F. J. Pisaric, and V. S. Volkova. 2003. Climate change and arctic ecosystems, 1: Vegetation changes north of 55 degrees N between the last glacial maximum, mid-Holocene, and present. Journal of Geophysical Research--Atmospheres 108(D19), 8170, doi:10. 1029/2002JD002558, 2003.
  • Kaplan, J. O., N. H. Bigelow, I. C. Prentice, S. P. Harrison, P. J. Bartlein, T. R. Christensen, W. Cramer, N. V. Matveyeva, A. D. McGuire, D. F. Murray, V. Y. Razzhivin, B. Smith, D. A. Walker, P. M. Anderson, A. A. Andreev, L. B. Brubaker, M. E. Edwards, and A. V. Lozhkin. 2003. Climate change and Arctic ecosystems: 2. Modeling, paleodata-model comparisons, and future projections. Journal of Geophysical Research 108(D19), 8171, doi:10. 1029/2002JD002559, 2003.
  • Chapin, F. S. III, T. S. Rupp, A. M Starfield, L. DeWilde, E. S. Zavaleta, N. Fresco, J. Henkelman, and A. D. McGuire. 2003. Planning for resilience: Modeling change in human-fire interactions in the Alaskan boreal forest. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 1(5):255-261.
  • McGuire, A. D., M. Sturm, and F. S. Chapin III. 2003. Arctic Transitions in the Land-Atmosphere System (ATLAS): Background, objectives, results, and future directions. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 108(D2), 8166, doi:10. 1029/2002JD002367.
  • Overland, J., J. Calder, F. Fetterer, A. D. McGuire, J. Morison, J. Richter-Menge, N. Soreide, and J. Walsh. 2003. SEARCH Workshop on Large-Scale Atmosphere/Cryosphere Observations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 84:1077-1081.
  • Tian, H., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, S. Pan, J. Liu, A. D. McGuire, and B. Moore III. 2003. Regional carbon dynamics in monsoon Asia and its implications for the global carbon cycle. Global and Planetary Change 37:201-217.
  • Zhuang, Q., A. D. McGuire, J. Harden, K. P. O'Neill, V. E. Romanovsky, and J. Yarie. 2002. Modeling soil thermal and carbon dynamics of a fire chronosequence in interior Alaska. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 107, 8147, doi:10. 1029/2001JD001244, 2002. ([printed 108(D1), 2003]
  • Zhuang, Q., A. D. McGuire, J. M. Melillo, J. S. Clein, R. J. Dargaville, D. W. Kicklighter, R. B. Myneni, J. Dong, V. E. Romanovsky, J. Harden, and J. E. Hobbie. 2003. Carbon cycling in extratropical terrestrial ecosystems of the Northern Hemisphere during the 20th Century: A modeling analysis of the influences of soil thermal dynamics. Tellus 55B:751-776.
  • Dargaville, R. J., M. Heimann, A. D. McGuire, I. C. Prentice, D. W. Kicklighter, F. Joos, J. S. Clein, G. Esser, J. Foley, J. Kaplan, R. A. Meier, J. M. Melillo, B. Moore III, N. Ramankutty, T. Reichenau, A. Schloss, S. Sitch, H. Tian, L. J. Williams, and U. Wittenberg. 2002. Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models with atmospheric CO2 measurements: Results from transient simulations considering increasing CO2, climate and land-use effects. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 16, 1092, doi:10. 1029/2001GB001426.
  • McGuire, A. D., C. Wirth, M. Apps, J. Beringer, J. Clein, H. Epstein, D. W. Kicklighter, J. Bhatti, F. S. Chapin III, B. deGroot, D. Efremov, W. Eugster, M. Fukuda, T. Gower, L. Hinzman, B. Huntley, G. J. Jia, E. Kasischke, J. Melillo, V. Romanovsky, A. Shvidenko, E. Vaganov, and D. Walker. 2002. Environmental variation, vegetation distribution, carbon dynamics, and water/energy exchange in high latitudes. Journal of Vegetation Science 13:301-314.
  • Clein, J. S., A. D. McGuire, X. Zhuang, D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo, S. C. Wofsy, P. G. Jarvis, and J. M. Massheder. 2002. Historical and projected carbon balances of mature black spruce ecosystems across North America: The role of carbon-nitrogen interactions. Plant and Soil 242:15-32.
  • Dargaville, R., A. D. McGuire, and P. Rayner. 2002. Estimates of large-scale fluxes in high latitudes from terrestrial biosphere models and an inversion of atmospheric CO2 measurements. Climatic Change 55:273-285.
  • Golet, G. H., P. E. Seiser, A. D. McGuire, D. D. Roby, J. B. Fischer, K. J. Kuletz, D. B. Irons, T. A. Dean, S. C. Jewett, and S. H. Newman. 2002. Long-term direct and indirect effects of the Exxon Valdez oil spill on pigeon guillemots in Prince William Sound, Alaska. Marine Ecology Progress Series 241:287-304.
  • McGuire, A. D. 2002. Ecosystem element cycling. Pages 614-618 in A. H. El-Shaarawi and W. W. Piegorsch, eds. Encyclopedia of Environmetrics, Volume 2. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester.
  • Pan, Y., A. D. McGuire, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, S. Sitch, and I. C. Prentice. 2002. A biogeochemistry-based successional model and its application along a moisture gradient in the continental United States. Journal of Vegetation Science 13:369-380.
  • Perez-Garcia, J., L. A. Joyce, A. D. McGuire, and X. Xiao. 2002. Impacts of emission controls on the global forest sector. Climatic Change 54:439-461.
  • Perez-Garcia, J., L. A. Joyce, and A. D. McGuire. 2002. Integrated ecological economic assessments at the global scale: Lessons learned and temporal uncertainties. Forest Ecology and Management 162:105-115.
  • Amthor, J. S., J. M. Chen, J. S. Clein, S. E. Frolking, M. L. Goulden, R. F. Grant, J. S. Kimball, A. W. King, A. D. McGuire, N. T. Nikolov, C. S. Potter, S. Wang, and S. C. Wofsy. 2001. Boreal forest CO2 exchange and evapotranspiration predicted by nine ecosystem process models: Intermodel comparisons and relationships to field measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 106:33, 623-33, 648.
  • Potter, C., S. Wang, N. T. Nikolov, A. D. McGuire, J. Liu, A. W. King, J. S. Kimball, R. F. Grant, S. E. Frolking, J. S. Clein, J. M. Chen, and J. S. Amthor. 2001. Comparison of boreal ecosystem model sensitivity to variability in climate and forest site parameters. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 106:33, 671-33, 688.
  • Walsh, J. E., J. Curry, M. Fahnestock, M. C. Kennicutt II, A. D. McGuire, W. B. Rossow, M. Steele, C. J. Vorosmarty, and R. Wharton. 2001. Enhancing NASA's Contribution to Polar Science: A Review of Polar Geophysical Data Sets. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. 124 pp.
  • Prentice, I. C., G. D. Farquhar, M. J. R. Fasham, M. L. Goulden, M. Heimann, V. J. Jaramillo, H. S. Kheshgi, C. LeQuere, R. J. Scholes, D. W. R. Wallace, and contributing authors (including A. D. McGuire). 2001. The carbon cycle and atmospheric carbon dioxide. Pages 183-237 in J. T. Houghton et al., eds. Climate Change 2001: Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA.
  • Silapaswan, Q., D. Verbyla, and A. D. McGuire. 2001. Land cover change on the Seward Peninsula: The use of remote sensing to evaluate potential influences of climate change on historical vegetation dynamics. Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing 5:542-554.
  • Pan, Y. -D., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, X. -M. Xiao, and A. D. McGuire. 2001. Modeling structural and functional responses of terrestrial ecosystems in China to changes in climate and atmospheric CO2. Acta Phytoecologica Sinica 25(2):175-189.
  • McGuire, A. D., S. Sitch, J. S. Clein, R. Dargaville, G. Esser, J. Foley, M. Heimann, F. Joos, J. Kaplan, D. W. Kicklighter, R. A. Meier, J. M. Melillo, B. Moore III, I. C. Prentice, N. Ramankutty, T. Reichenau, A. Schloss, H. Tian, L. J. Williams, and U. Wittenberg. 2001. Carbon balance of the terrestrial biosphere in the twentieth century: Analyses of CO2, climate and land use effects with four process-based ecosystem models. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 15:183-206.
  • Chapin, F. S., A. D. McGuire, J. Randerson, R. Pielke Sr., D. Baldochhi, S. E. Hobbie, N. Roulet, W. Eugster, E. Kasischke, E. B. Rasterrer, S. A. Zimov, and S. W. Running. 2000. Feedbacks from arctic and boreal ecosystems to climate. Global Change Biology 6:S211-S223.
  • Clein, J. S., B. L. Kwiatkowski, A. D. McGuire, J. E. Hobbie, E. B. Rastetter, J. M. Melillo, and D. W. Kicklighter. 2000. Modelling carbon responses of tundra ecosystems to historical and projected climate: a comparison of a plot- and a global-scale ecosystem model to identify process-based uncertainties. Global Change Biology 6(Suppl. 1):127-140.
  • McGuire, A. D., J. S. Clein, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, R. A. Meier, C. J. Vorosmarty, and M. C. Serreze. 2000. Modelling carbon responses of tundra ecosystems to historical and projected climate: The sensitivity of pan-Arctic carbon storage to temporal and spatial variation in climate. Global Change Biology 6:S141-S159.
  • Seiser, P. E., L. K. Duffy, A. D. McGuire, D. D. Roby, G. Golet, and M. A. Litzow. 2000. Comparison of pigeon guillemot, Cepphus columba, blood parameters from oiled and unoiled areas of Alaska eight years after the Exxon Valdez oil spill. Marine Pollution Bulletin 40:152-164.
  • Schimel, D., J. Mellilo, H. Tian, A. D. McGuire, D. Kicklighter, T. Kittel, N. Rosenbloom, S. Running, P. Thornton, D. Ojima, W. Parton, R. Kelly, M. Sykes, R. Neilson, and B. Rizzo. 2000. Carbon storage by the natural and agricultural ecosystems of the US (1980-1993). Science 287:2004-2006.
  • Tian, H., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, J. Helfrich III, B. Moore III, and C. J. Vorosmarty. 2000. Climatic and biotic controls on annual carbon storage in Amazonian ecosystems. Global Ecology and Biogeography 9:315-336.
  • McGuire, A. D., J. M. Melillo, J. T. Randerson, W. J. Parton, M. Heimann, R. A. Meier, J. S. Clein, D. W. Kicklighter, and W. Sauf. 2000. Modeling the effects of snowpack on heterotrophic respiration across northern temperate and high latitude regions: Comparison with measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide in high latitudes. Biogeochemistry 48:91-114.
  • Kicklighter, D. W., M. Bruno, S. Donges, G. Esser, M. Heimann, J. Helfrich, F. Ift, F. Joos, J. Kaduk, G. H. Kohlmaier, A. D. McGuire, J. M. Melillo, R. Meyer, B. Moore III, A. Nadler, I. C. Prentice, W. Sauf, S. Sitch, U. Wittnenberg, and G. Wurth. 1999. A first-order analysis of the potential role of CO2 fertilization to affect the global carbon budget: A comparison of four terrestrial biosphere models. Tellus 51B:343-366.
 

Current Staff

Federal Staff: 4

Masters Students: 5

Phd Students: 5

Post Docs: 2

University Staff: 2

5 Year Summary

Students graduated: 25

Scientific Publications: 129

Presentations: 225

 

Contact Us

Alaska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit Fairbanks, AK 99775-7020 Phone: (907) 474 - 7661 Fax: (907) 474 - 7872 Our University Web Site

Unit Leader

Brad Griffith

Brad Griffith joined the Alaska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit as one of the Assistant Leaders Wildlife in May 1996. He was selected as Unit Leader in February 2011. He holds a joint appointment as an Associate Professor of Wildlife Biology with the Department of Biology and Wildlife and the Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks.

Alaska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit Cooperators

  1. Alaska Department of Fish and Game
  2. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
  3. U.S. Geological Survey
  4. University of Alaska Fairbanks
  5. Wildlife Management Institute