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Predicting Impacts of Future Human Population Growth and Development on Forest-dependent Wildlife Species

View of the Butler Farms development, South Burlington, Vermont

Duration

January 2009 - June 2012

Narrative

Forest loss is perhaps the most important contemporary issue in the Northeast for wildlife species. Given increasing forest loss and fragmentation, the “problem” of how native fauna will respond to eminent land-use change is widespread, and requires tools and methods for understanding population responses as well as management recommendations for conservation. This study will integrate wildlife habitat modeling with GIS models of human population growth to quantify how various forest-dependent wildlife species will respond to projected increases in human population growth (year 2020) for the state of Vermont. The Vermont Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Researcher is collaborating with Dr. David Theobald (Colorado State University) on this work. The study will advance conservation planning by: 1) providing GIS layers on the contemporary distribution (probability of occurrence) for selected forest-dependent species; and 2) providing GIS layers that quantify risk for these same species given future human population growth and development.

Research Products and Activities

Peer Reviewed Publications

  • Brown, M. L., T. M. Donovan, W. S. Schwenk, and D. M. Theobald. 2013. Predicting impacts of future human population growth and development on occupancy rates of forest-dependent birds . Biological Conservation. Available online 31 October 2013, ISSN 0006-3207, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2013.07.039 Abstract |  Download  |  Publisher Website | 
  • Brown, M. L., T. M. Donovan, G. S. Warrington, and W. S. Schwenk. Predicting effects of future development on a territorial forest songbird: methodology matters. Landscape Ecology. DOI 10.1007/s10980-017-0586-8
 

Current Staff

Federal Staff: 102

Masters Students: 247

Phd Students: 163

Post Docs: 55

University Staff: 266

5 Year Summary

Students graduated: 722

Scientific Publications: 1960

Presentations: 4355

 

Personnel

Funding Agencies

  • USFS McIntire-Stennis

Links

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